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Know before you decide.

The Business Lab for tested pricing decisions

Business Lab

frames your decision as a test

Decision Engine

runs 10,000 futures on your numbers

Business Intelligence

gives you clear odds to act on

Live test Illustrative numbers

Should we expand into a new market this year?

Expand now loss 0% Pilot first loss 0% Wait 6 months loss 0%
0 simulated futureson your own numbers

Recommended: pilot first. Only 3% chance of a loss, and it keeps most of the upside.

How it works

Business Lab. Decision Engine. Business Intelligence.

Most firms hand you a report and wish you luck. We run your business decision through a lab first, then come back to check what really happened.

The question Should we open a new office abroad? AOpen now BWait two quarters CPilot with a small team

We turn your decision into a test.

We frame the business decision as a clear question, design the experiment, and research the market around it.

Then we verify. On day 30 we measure what really happened, and it goes into our Decision Library so every next test is sharper.

The Decision Room

Your team asks. Our Business Lab answers.

Bring the big business question your team is stuck on. We come back with tested options, real odds and a clear recommendation, in plain business language.

Search Decision Room
# new-market # pricing-2027 # hiring-plan
Amara

AmaraCEO, Lagos

We're thinking about entering the Kenyan market next year. Can we test it before we commit?

Kenji

KenjiFinance, Osaka

Last year's costs, sales and hiring numbers are uploaded.

company_numbers_2026.xlsx
Selam

SelamOperations, Addis Ababa

Three options on the table: enter now, wait two quarters, or pilot with a small team.

Layla

LaylaStrategy, Dubai

Please show us the chance of a loss for each option, not just the best case.

Ciralux Labs is testing 30,000 futures

Ciralux LabsBusiness Lab

Chance of a loss in year one

Enter now37%
Wait two quarters14%
Pilot with a small team3%

Recommended: pilot with a small team. Full business report, dashboard and action plan are ready.

Daniel

DanielSales, Toronto

That just saved us from a very big bet. Starting the pilot plan Monday.

Illustrative scene with example people and numbers

By the numbers

Built to give your business a clear answer, fast.

0

simulated futures for every option

2 weeks

from question to tested answer

Day 30

we come back and verify the result

5

things your business receives

The Decision Check

One big business decision. Tested in two weeks.

A fixed-scope service for one important choice, such as

entering a new market

Your timelineDay 1
1

Days 1–2

Discover

Agree on the decision and the business goal.

2

Days 3–6

Investigate

Study your company's data and the market.

3

Days 7–10

Simulate

The Decision Engine compares options by cost, risk and odds.

4

Days 11–12

Execute

Plan and start the best option with your team.

5

Day 30

Verify

Measure the real result, and learn from it.

Delivered to your team

What your business receives

Business report

A clear recommendation and the evidence behind it.

Odds and scenarios

The range of results for each option.

A dashboard you keep

Excel or Power BI, ready to reuse.

Action plan

Next steps with owners and dates.

Day-30 review

We come back to measure what really happened.

Results are estimates based on the data provided. They support your decision and do not guarantee outcomes.

Our signature output

Business decisions come with odds.

A single number can mislead. We show the whole range of what could happen under each option, so you see the upside, the downside and the chance of a loss before choosing.

How to read the odds

1. A taller, narrower curve means a more predictable result.

2. The bronze area left of break-even is the chance of a loss.

3. Each curve is drawn from thousands of simulated futures on your own numbers.

Live testIllustrative numbers

Should we launch our new product line this year?

break-even loss zone -$40k -$20k $0 $20k $40k $60k

Chance of a loss

0%

Typical result

+$17k

Likely range+$5k to +$29k
0 simulated futuresSmallest chance of a loss

Decision workspace

Every answer lands where your team works.

Your tested decision arrives as one clear summary your whole team can open, discuss and act on.

Search workspace

# pricing-2027

Priya

PriyaHead of Sales, Mumbai

Should we raise prices before the new year? Customers are asking for the new plan.

Asme

AsmeCFO, Asmara

Sent it to Ciralux Labs for a Decision Check. Summary is in.

4 replies

Thread

Decision: raise prices in 2027
Owner: @Asme

Ciralux Labs

We tested three price levels on 10,000 futures each. Here is the summary:

Decision summary Can view

Raise 12%loss 29%
Keep pricesloss 11%
Raise 6%, new planloss 4%
Priya

Priya

Clear. Rolling out the 6% plan in January.

Emma

EmmaMarketing, London

I will prepare the customer announcement for the new plan.

Built for business

Built for every business decision.

Built on your business data

Every test runs on your own numbers, layer by layer, not on guesses or averages.

A decision engine at work

Many options tested at once, each one thousands of times, so you see the full picture.

Verified on day 30

We come back to measure the real result and lock it into our Decision Library.

Grows with your business

From one Decision Check to ongoing decision support as your company grows.

Decisions we test

New marketsPricingHiringProduct launchesSuppliersNew branchesInvestments+ Your decision

Why Ciralux

The market sells opinions. We sell tested proof.

Deep, tested evidence used to be something only giant corporations could afford. We bring it to businesses of every size, in plain business language.

Depth of tested evidence Reachable for businesses of every size Enterprise platforms Consultants Dashboards Spreadsheets Ciralux Labs

Our own assessment, not measured data

The usual wayThe Ciralux way
✕ Consultants hand you an opinion.
✓ We hand you tested evidence, with the odds.
✕ Dashboards show what already happened.
✓ We show what could happen next.
✕ Decision platforms are built for giant corporations.
✓ We bring that power to businesses of every size.
✕ Most work ends when the report is delivered.
✓ We come back on day 30 and measure the result.
✕ Every project starts from zero.
✓ Our Decision Library makes every test sharper.

The Decision Library

Every decision makes the next one sharper.

Each result we verify on day 30 goes into our Decision Library. Over time, every new business test starts from more real-world evidence.

Test› Verify› Learn

Each verified decision adds to the library: new markets, pricing, hiring, launches and more, from businesses around the world.

Illustration of how the library works, not measured results.

Your data

Your business data stays yours.

We use smart, modern tools, including AI, to work faster for you. Your numbers stay protected every step of the way.

AI tools private, protected Data brokers Advertisers your data
✓

Used only for your decision

Your data serves your Decision Check and nothing else.
✦

Powered by smart AI tools

AI helps us analyze faster and deeper, always in private, protected settings.
✓

Never sold or shared

Not with data brokers, advertisers or other companies.
✓

Deleted when you ask

When the work is done, tell us and we delete your files.
✓

Every assumption in writing

Each report states what we assumed, so nothing is hidden.

Where we're going

A big vision, built one proven step at a time.

Each stage pays for the next. We prove the method, turn it into products, then open it to every business.

We are here

Year 1

Lab

Prove the method with our first Decision Checks

Year 2

Engines

Decision Engine subscriptions for each industry

Year 3

Platform

Self-service platform, API, partnerships and "Lab Tested" certification

Goals, not forecasts.

Partner with us

Let's build the future of business decisions together.

We're looking for partners who share one belief: every business deserves tested evidence before it decides.

AI and technology companies: bring your tools to businesses that need tested answers.

Data partners: help make every test richer and more accurate.

Investors: join us on the path from Lab to Platform.

Industry experts: shape the Decision Engine for your industry.

Start a conversation
AI and tech Data partners Investors Industry experts

Message from the CEO

Every week, business leaders make choices that shape their future, like entering a new market, hiring a team or changing prices. Too often, those choices are made on instinct alone.

Large corporations have whole departments to test decisions like these. Most businesses never have. I started Ciralux Labs to change that. We test decisions the way scientists test ideas, and we put the evidence in your hands before a single dollar is spent.

Then we come back and check what really happened, because every verified result makes the next answer sharper, for you and for every business we serve.

“No business should bet its future on a guess.”

CEO and Cofounder, Ciralux Labs

More than 12 years of experience in data, operations analysis and business decisions.

Know before you decide.

Tell us the business decision your team is facing. We will show you how a Decision Check would test it.

Your message opens in your email app, ready to send. We reply within two business days.

Prefer email? Write to [email protected]